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Twee op de vijf mensen die in de zorg werken, hebben geen boosterprik genomen tegen het coronavirus. Hoe zou dat komen?
“Volledig gevaccineerd zijn tegen Covid-19 betekent dat de kans vergroot dat u sneller opgenomen wordt in het ziekenhuis en eveneens sneller overlijdt,” constateert de Belgische huisarts Frank Peeters. Hij baseert zich op cijfers van Sciensano, het Belgische instituut voor gezondheid.
De cijfers laten zien dat veruit de meeste 65-plussers die in de maand juni in het ziekenhuis werden opgenomen of overleden, volledig gevaccineerd waren.
Merkwaardig
“We zullen het begrip ‘vaccin’ moeten herdefiniëren,” stelt Peeters. “Benieuwd hoe sterk die booster de immuniteit nog verder gaat ondermijnen.”
“Merkwaardig toch hoe de mainstream media en hun clubje van steeds dezelfde virologen, vaccinologen en andere experts alle bijwerkingen van de coronaprikken blijven minimaliseren en hoe ze proberen te ontkrachten dat uw immuunsysteem verzwakt kan worden door de prikken,” vervolgt de arts.
Geen enkele bescherming
Ook Ferdinand Meeus, dokter in de chemie, fotofysica en fotochemie, wijst erop dat er in België meer gevaccineerden in de ic-bedden liggen. “Ongemakkelijke Covid-cijfers,” schrijft hij erbij.
Daarnaast valt uit gegevens van het Britse statistiekbureau ONS op te maken dat de coronavaccins geen enkele bescherming bieden tegen sterfte, schrijft The Daily Sceptic. In april en mei was 93 procent van de 5678 Britse coronadoden gevaccineerd.
Eerder schreef The Daily Sceptic al dat de vaccins ook in Nederland en Canada niet beschermen tegen ernstige ziekte en sterfte. De data van het ONS doen belangrijke vragen rijzen die aangekaart moeten worden, stelt auteur Nick Rendell.
Covid Vaccines Give Zero Protection Against
Death, ONS Data Suggest
The latest ONS data on deaths by vaccination status show that of
the 5,678 Covid deaths in April and May, 93% or 5,276 were of vaccinated
people. Given that the Government’s Coronavirus
Dashboard reports that 93% of
the over-12 population had a first dose of the vaccine, 87% had a second dose
and 70% had a third dose, these real-world data suggest that the vaccinated did
no better than the unvaccinated in being protected against death.
Breaking this
down by age does not improve the outlook. In the 50-59 age cohort, in April 86%
and in May 87% of the deaths were of vaccinated people, compared to 87% of the
cohort vaccinated with at least one dose. In the 60-69 cohort, in April 88% and
in May 91% of the deaths were of vaccinated people, compared to 91% of the
cohort. In the 70-79 cohort, in April 94% and in May 90% of the deaths were of
vaccinated people, compared to 92% of the cohort. In the 80-plus cohort, in
April and May 94% of the deaths were of vaccinated people, compared to 94% of
the cohort. Note that ONS’s definition of a Covid death includes deaths where
Covid is mentioned anywhere on the death certificate, not necessarily as the
underlying cause.
Many readers will be familiar with the ongoing debate about vaccination
statistics and the size of the unvaccinated population. We know how many
people have been vaccinated with the first, second, third and fourth doses of
vaccine but we don’t know what the population of the U.K. is so we can’t know
exactly what percentage of the population the vaccinated
represent. However, we can have a pretty good guess. Figure 1 is
taken from the Covid
dashboard and shows that just
over 90% of the population had a first dose, just under 90% had a second dose
and just under 70% had a third dose.
Of course,
vaccine take-up varies greatly with age and vaccine efficacy (or lack of
efficacy) depends on how many doses you’ve had and when you had your last dose.
Figure 2
shows vaccine uptake for the first three rounds of vaccine, though not the
spring second booster campaign among over-75s. On the right hand side of the
chart I’ve drawn the 90%, 80% and 70% lines in red to make reading
easier. I’ve then written in red the age cohorts that fall in various
percentage tranches. Broadly speaking, 90% of people over the age of 70
have had all three doses whereas, if you look at the 50-59 year-olds you’ll see
that only about 75% have gone on to have the booster dose.
I’ve then
inserted a table showing the approximate uptake of the various vaccine doses by
age cohort that will then be used to compare vaccine uptake to the death data.
I should add that this level of accuracy is somewhat spurious and overstates
the percentage of the various age cohorts that have taken up the
vaccines. There’s been quite a lot of controversy about the percentage
take up of vaccine due to the mystery surrounding the U.K.’s
population. The problem was first addressed by Professor Sir David
Spiegelhalter, who brought up the complications around the NIMS and ONS
datasets; I wrote a piece taking issue with some of his findings here. Professor Norman Fenton also covered this in his
recent critical review of the BBC’s “Unvaccinated”. I won’t
revisit the debate here except to say that I think most would agree that the
estimates for the proportion of people vaccinated by age group tend to be a bit
overstated, so let’s simply regard them as a ceiling.
It’s perhaps also worth noting that Professor Fenton has also criticised the ONS data for undercounting Covid deaths,
but, as with the percentage of vaccine uptake, I’m going to use the ONS’s
figures as that is what the Government has published.
The ONS published “Deaths by
vaccination status, England” on July
6th. I, along with many others had been complaining that since the end of
March there had been no raw data released showing deaths by vaccination
status. It was a pleasant surprise to me that this new report made good
this shortfall and included deaths by vaccination status for April and May.
Figure 3 shows the count of Covid deaths by vaccination status for April
and May 2022. In April there were 4,119 Covid deaths, of which 3,837 were
of people vaccinated with at least one dose, that’s 93% of the total. In
May, 1,559 Covid deaths were recorded, 1,439 of which were of vaccinated
people, that’s 92% of the total. These figures are in line with the
proportion of deaths amongst the vaccinated being shown in the UKHSA data up to
the point when the data stopped being published at the end of March. The final
report can be found here, with the real-world data found in tables 12 and
13, which show that the proportion of deaths by vaccination status were much
the same then as in April and May.
Figure 3
The maximum
percentage of the population vaccinated is just over 90%, yet the percentage of
deaths in April and May was also over 90%. Why is this important?
Because, what’s always needed in any experiment is a ‘control group’, a group
of people who didn’t participate in the experimental drug, vaccine or whatever
was the subject of the study. If the vaccines are effective in preventing
deaths you’d expect to see a higher rate of fatalities among the people who
didn’t take the vaccines. But we don’t.
Let’s go into
a little more detail. Around 99% of the deaths in April and May occurred
in the over-50s so I’ll only look at these older age groups.
Figure 4
In the 50-59
age cohort there were 105 deaths in April and 47 in May. In April 86% and
in May 87% of the deaths were of vaccinated people. The third column in
grey shows the estimated percentage of people in this age cohort who had either
no vaccine or the various doses. The unvaccinated do not appear to have
suffered disproportionately to the vaccinated. While at least 13% of this
cohort have never had any vaccine dose at all, they accounted for less than 14%
of the deaths in April and May.
Figure 5
Figure 5
shows that it’s the same story in the 60-69 year-old cohort. In April
there were 284 deaths of which 250 or 88% were of vaccinated people. In
May 106 of the 117 deaths or 91% were vaccinated. The proportion of deaths was
in line with the proportion of the vaccinated in that age group. If the
vaccines had no effect this is exactly what you’d expect to see.
Figure 6
Figure 6
tells the same story for the over 70s: deaths from Covid are proportionately
the same for the vaccinated and the unvaccinated. About 91% are vaccinated
and over 90% of deaths were among the vaccinated.
And finally,
figure 7 shows the situation for the 80+ cohort. In this age cohort, just about
everyone who had the first dose turned up for their second and third dose and
quite probably their fourth dose too, but it doesn’t seem to have made much
difference to the outcome. Again, it’s perfectly clear that with 94% of the
deaths occurring amongst the vaccinated, the 6% unvaccinated are
proportionately no more at risk that the vaccinated.
Figure 7
Similar findings were reported in the Daily Sceptic recently for Canada and the Netherlands so this isn’t British exceptionalism.
Why might
this be? Waning efficacy perhaps. However, they’ve been at this level for some
months, suggesting that isn’t the whole story. Maybe the unvaccinated are a
self-selecting group who are disproportionately healthy – though if so that
would need to be shown not assumed. Whatever the reason, the ONS data clearly
raise important questions that need addressing. They seem to confirm that
in the real world, regardless of how many doses of vaccines someone may have,
it makes absolutely no difference to the likelihood that they may die from
Covid.
Tags: Covid deathsCOVID-19ONSVaccine efficacyVaccines
