Long Covid is real. It refers to people having new long-term conditions that reduce their quality of life, which started soon after a documented Covid infection. I know a few people who have it. Two of them were unvaccinated when they had Covid and went on to develop Long Covid. (a lot of people I know happen to be unvaccinated) I also know vaccinated people who had Long Covid, and luckily one of them recovered after a few months of great unpleasantness.
I will show, below, that people are at the HIGHEST risk of Long Covid — gasp — RIGHT AFTER Covid vaccination!
Analyst Olaf Garber, Germany
A German economist and analyst, @OlafGarber, recently brought up very interesting Long Covid data in an online conversation with me.
NOTE: Olaf Garber is not a stranger to the world of Covid analysis. He also extensively researched excess mortality, like I did, and came up with amazing conclusions that go in the same general direction as my excess mortality articles but involve data he derived and analyzed independently. So his conclusions serve as important checks on my conclusions and vice versa. Here’s his chart of excess mortality vs. booster rates (archive link):
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His independent chart nicely parallels my chart of mortality vs. booster rates. @OlafGarber is a person to take note of and follow!
Long Covid and Date of Vaccination
Here’s an article titled “Risk of long COVID associated with delta versus omicron variants.”
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The article has a chart that has all the data we need — we need to rearrange it:
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The risk of Long Covid for the Omicron period declines with time from the last vaccination:
Age 18-59:
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All Ages:
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Oddly enough, they “did not have enough data for the unvaccinated.”
We had insufficient data to estimate the odds of long COVID in unvaccinated individuals and did not estimate effects in children.
So here you can see easily that the greatest risk of Long Covid is “soon after vaccination.” The risk of Long Covid goes down as time passes from the last vaccination.
This both validates what antivaxxers have been saying — that vaccination makes Long Covid more likely — and also provides hope for vaccinated people that their risk of Long Covid goes down if they stay away from boosters. This is good news for all people!
A lot of people misattribute direct vaccine damage to Long Covid. Here’s a sad example of a Redditor who thinks their vaccine damage may be “Long Covid” - even though the Covid around Nov 2021 was long before the January 2022 booster that caused the damage.
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Poll: Please Share Your Long Covid Stories
I want to use this post to ask YOU for “your Long Covid Story.” Tell us if you, your friends, or your relatives, had Long Covid, their vaccination status, and the symptoms the person experienced.
Please be mindful of people’s and your privacy! You can describe yourself in the third person. “A friend of mine….” Also, please be kind in describing individuals and their suffering. You are, as always, allowed to disagree here or question the existence of Long Covid — state your thoughts clearly — but please be polite.
Let’s see if, perhaps, we can see some patterns emerging!
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